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Unemployment rate drops in all three Central Oregon counties for January

The seasonally adjusted unemployment rates declined in all three central Oregon counties in January 2010. Oregon's seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was 10.7 percent in January; essentially unchanged from December's revised rate of 10.6 percent.

Crook County: The county's seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was 15.9 percent in January; down 1.9 percentage points from December's revised rate of 17.8 percent. One year ago, the rate was 15.1 percent.

The county lost 220 jobs in January, which is a greater loss than is typical this time of year.

There were no industries that added jobs in January. The largest month-over-month employment losses were in retail trade (-40). The public sector also lost 40 jobs in January.

The county recorded 470 fewer jobs this January compared to January a year ago. The industry with the largest year-over-year loss is wood product manufacturing (-29.3%), followed by professional and business services (-16.0%). There has been employment growth in several industries since last January: state government (11.1%); education and health services (7.5%); federal government (4.0%); and retail trade (2.1%).

Deschutes County (Bend MSA): The county's seasonally adjusted unemployment rate dropped to 13.4 percent in January. The rate declined 1.2 percentage points from the revised December rate of 14.6 percent. In January of 2009, the rate was 12.3 percent.

The county lost 1,870 jobs in January. This is slightly more than what is expected this time of year.

There were no industries that added jobs in January.

Since January 2009, the county has lost approximately 2,800 jobs (-4.5%). The largest percentage losses in the private sector were in durable goods manufacturing (-24.0%); logging, mining, and construction (-18.0%); and transportation, warehousing, and utilities (-9.3%). There has been employment growth in two industries: leisure and hospitality (7.5%) and federal government (3.8%).

Jefferson County: The county's seasonally adjusted unemployment was 13.4 percent in January; down 0.9 percentage point from December's revised rate of 14.3 percent. One year ago, the rate was 13.0 percent.

Jefferson County lost 160 jobs in January which is fewer than expected in January.

No industry sector added jobs in January.

The county recorded a year-over-year job decline of 1.1 percent in January. The largest loss was in mining and logging (-25.0%). There were two private sector industries with over-the-year growth in employment: transportation, warehousing, and utilities (20.0%) and retail trade (2.1%). Employment in the public sector grew by 2.4 percent over the year.

Revised Data for 2009

Crook County: Revised payroll employment estimates for 2009 show Crook County's job losses were larger than originally reported. Between 2008 and 2009, on an average annual basis, the county lost 1,040 jobs (-15.1%). This loss is much larger than the state loss, as employment was down 6.2 percent over the same time period.

The downward revision occurred in all sectors. The most substantial changes were in construction; wholesale trade; and professional and business services.

The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was revised down also. Originally, the unemployment rate was shown to have peaked in June 2009 at 22.4 percent. June still had the highest unemployment rate in 2009, it was revised down to 21.6 percent.

Deschutes County (Bend MSA): Employment estimates were also revised downward in Deschutes County. On an average annual basis, the drop in employment in the county between 2008 and 2009 was 6,390 jobs (-9.4%). This year-over-year job loss is larger than the statewide loss of 6.2 percent.

Upward revisions were made in two private sector industries: wholesale trade and education and health services. Government employment was also revised up slightly. On the other hand, substantial downward revisions were made in mining, logging, and construction; manufacturing; information; and leisure and hospitality.

The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was also revised down. The originally published data showed that the rate peaked in May 2009 at 16.4 percent. The revised unemployment rates for the county in 2009, show that the rate peaked in May at 16.1 percent.

Jefferson County: Revised payroll employment for 2009 show that employment in Jefferson County was lower than originally published. On an average annual basis, employment in the county dropped by 410 jobs (-6.8%) between 2008 and 2009.

Downward revisions to the employment numbers were made across all industries. The largest revisions were made leisure and hospitality and other services. There was also an upward revision in professional and business services.

The seasonally adjusted unemployment rates for the county were also revised downward. The originally published data showed that the rate peaked at 16.3 percent in August. The revised data show that the rate peaked in the same month that Deschutes' rate peaked, May 2009. The rate was 15.5 percent, 0.8 percentage point lower than originally published.

These estimates will be revised as new data from businesses becomes available. The next Central Oregon Employment Situation with preliminary data for February 2010 is scheduled to be released on Tuesday March 23, 2010.